| Component | Status | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| EPİAŞ authenticated REST client | Implemented | Code supports CAS TGT authentication and three official electricity endpoints. |
| Hourly data alignment | Implemented | Consumption, generation and MCP can be joined by timestamp and transformed into model variables. |
| Synthetic smoke dataset | Implemented | Used only to test pipeline behavior; not evidence about Türkiye. |
| Shared Transformer | Implemented | Compact multi-task mean + scale model exists and is unit-tested. |
| Conformal utility | Implemented | Calibration machinery exists; no real-data coverage claim yet. |
| Real historical EPİAŞ audit | Pending | Must establish usable temporal overlap, missingness and schema stability. |
| Exploratory baseline comparison | Pending | No model superiority statement is currently supported. |
| OSF preregistration | Not yet created | The protocol is a draft and must not be described as preregistered. |
| Confirmatory holdout run | Not executed | No confirmatory effect estimate or p-value exists. |
| Journal/preprint manuscript results | Pending | The manuscript scaffold contains no fabricated result section. |
Current scientific conclusion: none about forecasting superiority. The defensible conclusion at v0.1.0 is that a reproducible software and study-design scaffold has been constructed and is ready for real-data audit.